Research Papers & Links

<Back

Here is a selection of research papers relevant to prediction markets, market efficiency, and exchanges. Feel free to suggest or submit a paper for this section.

Are you interested in studying prediction markets? If so we would be happy to help you in anyway possible including the provision of limited historical information on selected contracts that have been listed on the Exchange. Feel free to contact us

Manipulators Increase Information Market Efficiency
by Hanson & Oprea -- Under review

Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter?
by Servan-Schreiber, Wolfers, Pennock & Galebach, in Electronic Markets, Vol 14, No 3 -- 9/2004

The Real Power Of Artificial Markets
by Pennock, Lawrence, Giles, & Nielsen, in Science -- 02/09/2001

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems
by Berg & Rietz, in Information Systems Frontiers -- 5:1, 79-93, 2003

Information Aggregation Mechanisms: Concept, Design and Implementation for a Sales Forecasting Problem
by Chen, (Hewlett-Packard Laboratories - 1997)

Information (in) Efficiency in Prediction Markets
By Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitzewitz (The Wharton School, February 2005)

Information Markets within Organizations*
Steven Ostrover (Econ One Research, Inc. August, 2004)

Analysis of statistical trading models for Major League Baseball*
Carl Morris Professor and former Chairman of statistics Harvard University

Links

Aiming at Predicting the Future™ Portal
http://www.chrisfmasse.com/

Sports Arbitrage Trading Site
http://www.sportsarbitragereview.com/