Research Papers & Links
If you wish to receive data on our markets for a research project please contact research@tradesports.com
Here is a selection of research papers relevant to prediction markets, market efficiency, and exchanges. Feel free to suggest or submit a paper for this section.
Are you interested in studying prediction markets? If so we would be happy to help you in anyway possible including the provision of limited historical information on selected contracts that have been listed on the Exchange. Feel free to contact us
Does Liquidity Affect Securities Market Efficiency?
by Paul C. Tetlock, Assistant Professor of Finance, McCombs School of Business
Approximate Transcript of Presentation to the Prediction Market Conference in NYC.
by John Delaney, CEO, Trade Exchange Network, delivered on Feb 03 2006
Manipulating Political Stock Markets:
A Field Experiment and a Century of Observational Data
by Paul W. Rhode (UNC Chapel Hill and NBER) & Koleman S. Strumpf (UNC Chapel Hill)
Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter?
by Servan-Schreiber, Wolfers, Pennock & Galebach, in Electronic Markets,
Vol 14, No 3 -- 9/2004
The Real Power Of Artificial Markets
by Pennock, Lawrence, Giles, & Nielsen, in Science -- 02/09/2001
Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems
by Berg & Rietz, in Information Systems Frontiers -- 5:1, 79-93, 2003
Information Aggregation Mechanisms: Concept, Design and Implementation for a Sales
Forecasting Problem
by Chen, (Hewlett-Packard Laboratories - 1997)
Information (in) Efficiency in Prediction Markets
By Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitzewitz (The Wharton School,
February 2005)
Analysis of statistical trading models for Major
League Baseball
By Carl Morris Professor and former Chairman of statistics Harvard University
Links
Aiming at
Predicting the Future™ Portal
http://www.chrisfmasse.com/
Sports Arbitrage
Trading Site
http://www.sportsarbitragereview.com/